United Nations India’s population is projected to peak in the early 2060s at about1.7 billion and also decline by 12 per cent, but the country will remain the world’s most vibrant throughout the century, the United Nations has said.
The World Population Prospects 2024 report, released then on Thursday, said that the world’s population is anticipated to continue growing over the coming 50- 60 times, reaching a peak of around 10.3 billion people in the mid-2080s, over from 8.2 billion in 2024. After peaking, the global population is projected to start declining gradationally, falling to10.2 billion people by the end of the century.
India to continue to be the world’s most vibrant nation India, which surpassed China as the world’s most vibrant nation last time, will continue to hold that position through 2100. Probably decline by 12 per cent after reaching its peak in the early 2060s at about1.7 billion, ” the UN report published by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs( DESA), Population Division said.
According to the report, India’s population in 2024 is projected at1.45 billion and this will peak to 1.69 billion in 2054. After this, India’s population is projected to decline to 1.5 billion by the end of the century in 2100, but the country will still remain the most vibrant nation on Earth.
Responding to a question by PTI on population protrusions for India, Senior Population Affairs Officer, Population Division, UN DESA Clare Menozzi said at a press conference that “ India is presently the largest country in the world in terms of population, and it's projected to stay so throughout the century.
The population is presently estimated at 1.45 billion, and it’s supposed to increase farther ” to 1.69 billion. “ It’s supposed to peak around the 2060s in size and also it starts to slightly decline. So by the end of the century, India is projected to be around 1.5 billion, but still the largest country in the world by a large periphery. ” On China The report said that China’s population, presently 1.41 billion in 2024, will fall to1.21 billion in 2054 and farther decline to 633 million by 2100.
“ It's anticipated that China, the country presently with the world’s alternate- largest population, will probably witness the largest absolute population loss between 2024 and 2054( 204 million). Longer- range population protrusions are more uncertain ” for China, it said.
By 2100, China is projected to have lost further than a half of its current population and to have returned to a population size similar to that recorded in the late 1950s( 50 per cent probability). it really relates to the position of fertility that’s observed presently in China.
The current number is right around one birth per woman on average over a continuance. “ Given that you need2.1 births to maintain the current population without migration, if fertility situations remain at such a low position, indeed if they come up slightly, any fertility position if it’s below two, or especially below 1.8 or below 1.5, you ’re really getting into low situations of fertility and it produces a long run decline that’s quite significant. And that’s true for China. It’s true for some other countries in this analysis, ” Wilmoth said.
